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Red141
250030.3
466337.4
320647.1
Blue91
181640.5
527113.9
727313.5
77%Model gave it23%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006905015014191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points18
23Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +45
21Coral scored#11
76Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
104Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#3
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
141Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#16
47.12.6
32.735.3
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1
red by 6.5
1816
#23
40.51.0
37.038.0
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End8.8
Second
4663
#30
37.42.9
30.333.1
Auto7.0
Teleop26.0
End4.3
red by 23.5
5271
#36
13.90.9
12.313.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Third
2500
#12
30.32.9
22.125.0
Auto6.6
Teleop21.4
End2.4
red by 16.9
7273
#44
13.51.5
13.114.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned