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Red147
523222.7
462449.2
205268.1
Blue78
543434.6
15932.6
257419.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1407505010020025014778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+73Teleop
+73Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +80
24Coral scored#7
88Coral points24
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
112Total teleop32
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#3
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
2Foul points6
147Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.12.1
53.155.2
Auto12.0
Teleop44.8
End11.3
red by 33.6
5434
#24
34.60.1
27.827.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End8.4
Second
49.21.9
40.542.4
Auto10.3
Teleop35.6
End3.3
red by 16.6
159
#15
32.60.1
30.430.3
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End9.1
Third
5232
#33
22.72.1
23.225.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
red by 3.3
2574
#39
19.40.1
14.914.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned