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Red130
419837.2
214335.9
212964.3
Blue179
260615.8
250838.3
253073.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212880100120140160180130179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+37
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
7Coral scored#9
36Coral points47
36Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +26
17Coral scored#23
60Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
80Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#7
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#7
28Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
130Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#20
64.30.7
55.155.9
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End1.1
blue by 8.7
73.04.1
72.176.2
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Second
4198
#27
37.20.7
28.028.7
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End8.7
blue by 1.1
2508
#10
38.34.6
28.232.8
Auto12.7
Teleop22.2
End3.4
Third
2143
#21
35.90.7
33.834.6
Auto9.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
red by 20.1
2606
#46
15.86.9
14.221.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned