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Red167
248037.0
319770.1
701931.4
Blue98
591360.4
216931.5
298743.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125139608010016018020022016798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points52
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
24Processor points6
20Net points8
44Algae points14
99Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
16Foul points0
167Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.12.0
63.965.9
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End6.7
red by 9.7
5913
#13
60.42.5
54.051.5
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
Second
2480
#18
37.03.3
25.228.5
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8
blue by 6.4
2987
#14
43.42.5
36.834.3
Auto8.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
Third
7019
#11
31.43.3
23.626.8
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End8.2
blue by 0.1
2169
#31
31.52.5
33.631.1
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned