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Red105
361013.7
253073.0
387123.0
Blue127
214335.9
417455.9
453640.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138126050100200250300105127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
12Processor points6
4Net points20
16Algae points26
50Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
6Foul points6
105Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.01.5
76.274.7
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
red by 17.1
55.90.3
44.344.7
Auto13.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
Second
3871
#35
23.02.5
22.419.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End3.9
blue by 17.1
4536
#28
40.10.3
37.137.4
Auto5.0
Teleop33.3
End1.8
Third
3610
#47
13.72.5
23.220.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End2.7
blue by 22.2
2143
#21
35.90.3
34.634.9
Auto9.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned