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Red85
523222.7
15932.6
223927.1
Blue95
310051.4
250030.3
250838.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8011140601001201401601802008595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+16
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
50Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
85Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#15
32.60.4
30.330.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End9.1
blue by 18.8
51.40.8
42.942.1
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
Second
2239
#29
27.10.4
23.924.3
Auto3.3
Teleop20.0
End3.7
blue by 11.2
2508
#10
38.30.8
32.832.0
Auto12.7
Teleop22.2
End3.4
Third
5232
#33
22.70.4
25.325.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
blue by 7.7
2500
#12
30.30.8
25.024.2
Auto6.6
Teleop21.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned