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Red130
543434.6
466337.4
340727.5
Blue186
614760.5
217725.5
369131.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001106080120140160180130186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+58
Endgame+58
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +44
18Coral scored#29
63Coral points103
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
18Processor points6
8Net points24
26Algae points30
89Total teleop133
Reef
10L4#10
5L3#10
5L2#8
3L1 · trough#7
28Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
2Foul points0
130Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4663
#30
37.41.4
33.134.5
Auto7.0
Teleop26.0
End4.3
blue by 23.1
60.54.5
50.655.1
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
Second
5434
#24
34.62.3
27.729.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End8.4
red by 2.7
3691
#26
31.84.5
22.026.5
Auto4.0
Teleop24.6
End3.2
Third
3407
#25
27.52.3
22.825.1
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End2.1
red by 2.0
2177
#34
25.54.5
18.923.4
Auto3.8
Teleop21.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned