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Red155
205268.1
319770.1
297221.2
Blue112
527832.2
527113.9
253073.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16412050100150200250155112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
19Coral scored#13
70Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
104Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#6
8L3#4
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points6
155Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.9
65.966.7
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End6.7
blue by 2.9
73.00.3
74.774.4
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Second
68.10.9
55.256.1
Auto12.0
Teleop44.8
End11.3
red by 35.9
5278
#19
32.20.4
22.121.6
Auto4.2
Teleop21.6
End6.4
Third
2972
#42
21.21.4
20.922.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.5
End1.7
red by 7.3
5271
#36
13.90.3
13.212.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned