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Red113
701931.4
727313.5
591360.4
Blue69
915715.3
453640.1
260615.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110755010015020011369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
70Total teleop58
Reef
9L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
113Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#13
60.40.7
51.552.3
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
red by 20.3
4536
#28
40.10.3
37.437.2
Auto5.0
Teleop33.3
End1.8
Second
7019
#11
31.41.2
26.828.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End8.2
red by 15.6
2606
#46
15.80.4
19.619.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End0.7
Third
7273
#44
13.51.2
14.615.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
blue by 1.8
9157
#45
15.30.4
13.312.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed