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Red135
250030.3
313051.6
248037.0
Blue161
419837.2
310051.4
462449.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97128050150200135161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points19
15Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +19
18Coral scored#25
66Coral points91
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
6Processor points12
24Net points12
30Algae points24
96Total teleop115
Reef
7L4#12
5L3#7
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
135Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.62.7
41.544.2
Auto6.1
Teleop34.9
End10.6
red by 0.2
51.43.2
42.145.3
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
Second
2480
#18
37.04.5
28.533.0
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8
blue by 12.2
49.23.2
43.746.8
Auto10.3
Teleop35.6
End3.3
Third
2500
#12
30.32.7
24.226.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.4
End2.4
blue by 6.9
4198
#27
37.23.2
27.831.0
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned