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Red114
369131.8
181640.5
469329.5
Blue174
527832.2
15932.6
205268.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10213250150200114174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+38
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +27
19Coral scored#19
69Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#6
12Processor points18
4Net points24
16Algae points42
85Total teleop112
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#9
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
114Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#23
40.50.6
37.037.5
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End8.8
blue by 27.6
68.13.6
56.159.7
Auto12.0
Teleop44.8
End11.3
Second
3691
#26
31.80.6
26.527.1
Auto4.0
Teleop24.6
End3.2
blue by 0.7
159
#15
32.63.6
30.734.2
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End9.1
Third
4693
#37
29.50.6
24.224.7
Auto4.6
Teleop21.6
End3.3
blue by 2.7
5278
#19
32.26.0
21.627.6
Auto4.2
Teleop21.6
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned