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Red118
217725.5
310051.4
527113.9
Blue89
462449.2
260615.8
417455.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8612805010015020011889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+13Teleop
+11Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +20
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points32
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
86Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
18Foul points0
118Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.9
45.346.2
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
blue by 4.5
55.92.0
47.745.6
Auto13.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
Second
2177
#34
25.50.9
23.424.3
Auto3.8
Teleop21.3
End0.4
blue by 23.7
49.22.0
46.844.8
Auto10.3
Teleop35.6
End3.3
Third
5271
#36
13.90.9
12.913.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 1.9
2606
#46
15.83.4
19.215.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed