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Red101
319770.1
915715.3
727313.5
Blue91
248037.0
223927.1
543434.6
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210370809011012013014015010191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
74Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
101Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.2
66.766.9
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End6.7
red by 33.1
2480
#18
37.00.1
33.032.9
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8
Second
9157
#45
15.30.3
12.913.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End2.6
blue by 19.3
5434
#24
34.60.1
29.229.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End8.4
Third
7273
#44
13.50.3
15.916.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
blue by 13.7
2239
#29
27.10.1
27.327.2
Auto3.3
Teleop20.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned