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Red131
251818.8
298743.4
320647.1
Blue121
419837.2
369131.8
591360.4
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10614150200250131121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +8
19Coral scored#20
69Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
97Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
131Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#16
47.12.0
40.242.2
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1
blue by 13.4
5913
#13
60.40.3
54.654.3
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
Second
2987
#14
43.42.0
37.339.4
Auto8.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
red by 6.2
4198
#27
37.20.3
33.933.6
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End8.7
Third
2518
#40
18.83.4
14.718.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End-0.3
blue by 13.0
3691
#26
31.80.3
28.328.0
Auto4.0
Teleop24.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsMissed