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Red128
253073.0
523222.7
375117.9
Blue107
701931.4
217725.5
181640.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132103050150200250300128107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
6Leave0
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points18
30Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
82Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#8
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
128Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.00.2
72.272.4
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
red by 32.4
1816
#23
40.50.2
40.340.5
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End8.8
Second
5232
#33
22.70.2
24.124.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
blue by 8.7
7019
#11
31.40.4
30.630.9
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End8.2
Third
3751
#17
17.90.3
20.120.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End2.1
blue by 7.6
2177
#34
25.50.2
24.925.1
Auto3.8
Teleop21.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned