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Red89
216931.5
469329.5
340727.5
Blue111
214335.9
462449.2
250030.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9113305015020025089111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points43
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
75Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#3
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
89Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#31
31.50.2
28.628.8
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End3.7
blue by 17.7
49.20.4
44.844.3
Auto10.3
Teleop35.6
End3.3
Second
4693
#37
29.50.2
26.026.2
Auto4.6
Teleop21.6
End3.3
blue by 6.3
2143
#21
35.90.4
37.637.2
Auto9.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
Third
3407
#25
27.50.4
25.225.5
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End2.1
blue by 2.8
2500
#12
30.30.4
29.829.4
Auto6.6
Teleop21.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned