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Red126
466337.4
453640.1
387123.0
Blue186
319770.1
217537.4
250838.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9415850200250126186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+41
Teleop+66
Endgame+54
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +41
6Leave6
2Coral scored#10
10Coral points51
16Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +25
21Coral scored#22
76Coral points79
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
6Processor points12
12Net points28
18Algae points40
94Total teleop119
Reef
11L4#15
4L3#8
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#41
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points6
126Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#28
40.12.0
35.537.5
Auto5.0
Teleop33.3
End1.8
blue by 30.0
70.12.0
68.270.2
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End6.7
Second
4663
#30
37.42.0
32.634.5
Auto7.0
Teleop26.0
End4.3
blue by 0.9
2508
#10
38.32.0
36.038.0
Auto12.7
Teleop22.2
End3.4
Third
3871
#35
23.03.0
19.622.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End3.9
blue by 14.4
2175
#38
37.43.2
33.937.1
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed