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Red120
543434.6
205268.1
260615.8
Blue95
305511.6
320647.1
248037.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127955015020012095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
81Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
120Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.10.6
62.362.9
Auto12.0
Teleop44.8
End11.3
red by 21.1
3206
#16
47.10.4
42.242.7
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1
Second
5434
#24
34.61.0
29.830.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End8.4
blue by 2.4
2480
#18
37.00.6
32.733.3
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8
Third
2606
#46
15.81.0
15.516.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End0.7
red by 4.1
3055
#43
11.60.4
11.311.7
Auto0.9
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned