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Red169
298743.4
212964.3
310051.4
Blue92
297221.2
181640.5
878713.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1677405010015020025016992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+65Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points16
40Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +44
20Coral scored#15
71Coral points55
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
113Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#6
10L3#6
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
169Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#20
64.30.7
56.056.7
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End1.1
red by 23.8
1816
#23
40.50.1
40.540.6
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End8.8
Second
51.40.7
47.448.2
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
red by 30.2
2972
#42
21.20.2
22.422.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Third
2987
#14
43.40.7
39.440.1
Auto8.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
red by 30.0
8787
#41
13.40.2
15.215.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed