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Red154
462449.2
223927.1
591360.4
Blue107
253073.0
469329.5
427722.1
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371326080100120160180200220154107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
18Coral scored#17
63Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
81Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#4
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
26Foul points6
154Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#13
60.40.2
54.354.5
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
blue by 12.6
73.01.3
72.471.1
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Second
49.20.2
44.344.5
Auto10.3
Teleop35.6
End3.3
red by 19.7
4693
#37
29.51.3
26.224.9
Auto4.6
Teleop21.6
End3.3
Third
2239
#29
27.10.2
26.927.1
Auto3.3
Teleop20.0
End3.7
red by 5.0
4277
#32
22.12.0
21.419.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned