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Red72
214335.9
523222.7
217725.5
Blue94
251818.8
614760.5
527832.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97124501502007294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+36
Endgame+28
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave0
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points30
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
7Coral scored#12
25Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
37Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#7
4L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
6Foul points0
72Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2143
#21
35.91.4
37.235.8
Auto9.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
blue by 24.7
60.50.8
59.458.6
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
Second
2177
#34
25.51.4
25.123.7
Auto3.8
Teleop21.3
End0.4
blue by 6.8
5278
#19
32.21.3
28.627.3
Auto4.2
Teleop21.6
End6.4
Third
5232
#33
22.71.4
24.322.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
red by 3.9
2518
#40
18.81.3
18.116.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed