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Red116
527113.9
320647.1
419837.2
Blue167
216931.5
212964.3
453640.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97149050200250116167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+59
Endgame+49
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points33
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +45
19Coral scored#24
69Coral points86
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
6Processor points18
8Net points24
14Algae points42
83Total teleop128
Reef
7L4#14
7L3#7
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points2
116Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#16
47.11.0
42.743.6
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1
blue by 17.3
2129
#20
64.31.8
56.758.5
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End1.1
Second
4198
#27
37.21.0
33.834.7
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End8.7
blue by 2.9
4536
#28
40.11.8
37.539.3
Auto5.0
Teleop33.3
End1.8
Third
5271
#36
13.91.0
11.512.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 17.6
2169
#31
31.51.8
29.030.8
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed