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Red89
250030.3
260615.8
340727.5
Blue148
387123.0
298743.4
247047.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8312505010015020089148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+45
Endgame+47
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +34
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points65
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
12Processor points24
12Net points20
24Algae points44
75Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points12
89Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2500
#12
30.30.1
30.830.7
Auto6.6
Teleop21.4
End2.4
blue by 17.5
47.81.0
46.047.0
Auto6.2
Teleop36.5
End5.1
Second
3407
#25
27.50.2
29.629.4
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End2.1
blue by 15.9
2987
#14
43.41.0
40.141.1
Auto8.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
Third
2606
#46
15.80.2
16.516.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End0.7
blue by 7.2
3871
#35
23.01.5
22.624.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned