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Red66
523222.7
878713.4
915715.3
Blue104
369131.8
214335.9
375117.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54106015020066104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +30
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
38Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
66Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#33
22.70.5
22.923.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
blue by 13.2
2143
#21
35.90.0
35.835.8
Auto9.5
Teleop20.6
End5.8
Second
9157
#45
15.30.7
12.513.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End2.6
blue by 16.5
3691
#26
31.80.0
30.630.6
Auto4.0
Teleop24.6
End3.2
Third
8787
#41
13.40.7
15.416.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 4.5
3751
#17
17.90.0
22.622.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned