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Red129
462449.2
257419.4
614760.5
Blue121
591360.4
297221.2
248037.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130122050100150200250300129121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
16Coral scored#18
56Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
74Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points0
129Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.5
58.659.1
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
red by 0.1
5913
#13
60.40.7
54.555.2
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
Second
49.20.5
44.545.0
Auto10.3
Teleop35.6
End3.3
red by 12.2
2480
#18
37.01.0
33.334.4
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8
Third
2574
#39
19.40.7
16.717.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End4.9
blue by 1.9
2972
#42
21.21.0
22.623.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsMissed