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Red193
310051.4
253073.0
453640.1
Blue125
469329.5
543434.6
304220.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18669050100150200250193125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+58Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +55
29Coral scored#20
105Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
141Total teleop86
Reef
8L4#9
11L3#6
8L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
193Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.01.6
70.371.9
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
red by 38.4
5434
#24
34.63.5
31.134.6
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End8.4
Second
51.41.6
48.349.9
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
red by 21.9
4693
#37
29.52.6
25.027.6
Auto4.6
Teleop21.6
End3.3
Third
4536
#28
40.11.6
39.340.9
Auto5.0
Teleop33.3
End1.8
red by 19.2
3042
#22
20.92.6
18.220.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned