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Red64
878713.4
701931.4
223927.1
Blue156
340727.5
319770.1
313051.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791745010015020025064156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+70
Endgame+78
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +46
6Coral scored#15
21Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
6Processor points18
8Net points8
14Algae points26
35Total teleop81
Reef
2L4#9
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
4Foul points18
64Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7019
#11
31.42.7
34.131.4
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End8.2
blue by 38.7
70.11.4
69.467.9
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End6.7
Second
2239
#29
27.12.0
29.227.1
Auto3.3
Teleop20.0
End3.7
blue by 24.5
51.61.4
49.247.8
Auto6.1
Teleop34.9
End10.6
Third
8787
#41
13.42.7
16.113.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 14.2
3407
#25
27.51.9
29.427.5
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned