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Red194
319770.1
205268.1
419837.2
Blue188
253073.0
614760.5
248037.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185181120140160200220240260194188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points41
54Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +1
24Coral scored#25
86Coral points89
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
118Total teleop119
Reef
11L4#11
13L3#11
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points6
194Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.4
68.969.3
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End6.7
blue by 2.9
73.00.3
72.773.0
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
Second
68.10.4
66.967.3
Auto12.0
Teleop44.8
End11.3
red by 7.6
60.50.3
60.360.6
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
Third
4198
#27
37.20.4
36.036.3
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End8.7
red by 0.2
2480
#18
37.00.3
36.737.0
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8