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Red240
417455.9
216931.5
212964.3
Blue248
313051.6
591360.4
320647.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167177120140160200220240240248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+12Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points41
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +9
41Coral scored#32
147Coral points116
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#7
18Processor points24
12Net points28
30Algae points52
177Total teleop168
Reef
13L4#12
17L3#13
11L2#9
8L1 · trough#6
55Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
240Total score248

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#20
64.31.3
63.164.3
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End1.1
red by 3.9
5913
#13
60.41.3
59.660.9
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
Second
55.91.3
54.655.9
Auto13.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
red by 4.3
51.61.3
50.852.1
Auto6.1
Teleop34.9
End10.6
Third
2169
#31
31.51.3
30.231.5
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End3.7
blue by 15.6
3206
#16
47.11.3
46.347.6
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1