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Red200
253073.0
614760.5
248037.0
Blue138
313051.6
591360.4
320647.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185172100150200250300200138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+44Teleop
+56Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
3Leave6
10Coral scored#2
51Coral points10
54Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
24Coral scored#17
86Coral points62
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
12Processor points18
16Net points28
28Algae points46
114Total teleop108
Reef
11L4#9
11L3#4
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +62
6Foul points0
200Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.00.5
73.073.5
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
red by 12.6
5913
#13
60.40.5
60.960.4
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
Second
60.50.5
60.661.1
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
red by 9.0
51.60.5
52.151.6
Auto6.1
Teleop34.9
End10.6
Third
2480
#18
37.00.6
37.037.6
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8
blue by 10.1
3206
#16
47.10.5
47.647.1
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1