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Red203
417455.9
216931.5
212964.3
Blue126
250838.3
469329.5
462449.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16412250100150200203126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+63Teleop
+63Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points14
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +39
28Coral scored#18
100Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
128Total teleop89
Reef
14L4#10
9L3#3
6L2#4
8L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +77
14Foul points0
203Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#20
64.30.9
60.161.0
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End1.1
red by 15.2
49.20.2
47.347.4
Auto10.3
Teleop35.6
End3.3
Second
55.90.9
51.752.6
Auto13.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
red by 17.6
2508
#10
38.30.2
36.436.6
Auto12.7
Teleop22.2
End3.4
Third
2169
#31
31.50.9
27.328.2
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End3.7
red by 2.0
4693
#37
29.50.2
27.627.8
Auto4.6
Teleop21.6
End3.3