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Red0
250030.3
453640.1
523222.7
Blue156
247047.8
310051.4
181640.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961600502002500156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+38
Endgame+58
Fouls+156
AutonomousBlue +16
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points22
9Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +22
12Coral scored#21
43Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
71Total teleop93
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#9
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +156
-84Foul points14
0Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#28DQ
40.10.2
40.340.1
Auto5.0
Teleop33.3
End1.8
blue by 11.3
51.40.1
50.550.6
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
Second
2500
#12DQ
30.30.2
30.630.3
Auto6.6
Teleop21.4
End2.4
blue by 17.5
47.80.1
47.047.1
Auto6.2
Teleop36.5
End5.1
Third
5232
#33DQ
22.70.2
22.922.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
blue by 17.9
1816
#23
40.50.1
39.739.8
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End8.8