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Red218
253073.0
614760.5
248037.0
Blue182
417455.9
216931.5
212964.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189155100200250218182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+2
+18Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave0
9Coral scored#8
47Coral points39
47Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +10
23Coral scored#26
81Coral points93
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
24Processor points18
12Net points16
36Algae points34
117Total teleop127
Reef
14L4#14
10L3#8
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#41
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +36
18Foul points0
218Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.00.4
72.372.7
Auto16.9
Teleop44.6
End11.5
red by 8.7
2129
#20
64.30.6
61.061.6
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End1.1
Second
60.50.4
59.960.3
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
red by 4.7
55.90.6
52.653.1
Auto13.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
Third
2480
#18
37.00.5
36.236.7
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8
red by 5.5
2169
#31
31.50.6
28.228.7
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End3.7