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Red207
313051.6
591360.4
320647.1
Blue161
250838.3
469329.5
462449.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17412050100150200250207161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+26Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
8Coral scored#7
40Coral points35
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +30
21Coral scored#18
75Coral points63
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
24Processor points18
32Net points20
56Algae points38
131Total teleop101
Reef
9L4#12
11L3#6
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#33
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
207Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#13
60.41.2
58.459.6
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
red by 11.2
49.21.0
48.149.2
Auto10.3
Teleop35.6
End3.3
Second
51.61.2
49.650.8
Auto6.1
Teleop34.9
End10.6
red by 13.3
2508
#10
38.31.0
37.338.3
Auto12.7
Teleop22.2
End3.4
Third
3206
#16
47.11.2
45.146.3
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1
red by 17.5
4693
#37
29.51.0
28.529.5
Auto4.6
Teleop21.6
End3.3