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Red211
198777.0
674418.0
170697.9
Blue105
414372.0
999625.0
493121.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240121050100150200300211105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+98Teleop
+88Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points28
37Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +92
29Coral scored#9
106Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
140Total teleop48
Reef
15L4#6
9L3#4
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +106
18Foul points0
211Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.90.3
98.297.9
Auto21.5
Teleop65.4
End11.0
red by 25.9
72.00.7
72.772.0
Auto18.1
Teleop49.7
End4.3
Second
77.00.3
77.377.0
Auto18.0
Teleop49.9
End9.3
red by 52.0
25.01.2
26.125.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Third
6744
#26
18.00.3
18.318.0
Auto2.5
Teleop14.4
End1.3
blue by 3.6
4931
#23
21.60.7
22.321.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End7.1