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Red242
198777.0
674418.0
170697.9
Blue190
414372.0
999625.0
493121.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239116050100150200300242190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave0
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points36
51Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +27
29Coral scored#25
103Coral points90
3Processor algae#4
11Net algae#6
18Processor points24
44Net points24
62Algae points48
165Total teleop138
Reef
15L4#8
10L3#9
10L2#9
4L1 · trough#6
53Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
242Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.90.8
97.498.2
Auto21.5
Teleop65.4
End11.0
red by 25.9
72.01.2
71.572.7
Auto18.1
Teleop49.7
End4.3
Second
77.00.8
76.677.3
Auto18.0
Teleop49.9
End9.3
red by 52.0
25.02.0
24.126.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Third
6744
#26
18.00.8
17.618.3
Auto2.5
Teleop14.4
End1.3
blue by 3.6
4931
#23
21.61.2
21.122.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End7.1