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Red110
414372.0
639134.2
421334.4
Blue93
99768.5
450059.7
806925.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610405020025030011093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+31Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
78Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#7
8L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
110Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.01.7
66.965.2
Auto18.1
Teleop49.7
End4.3
red by 12.4
4500
#10
59.70.1
59.959.8
Auto17.1
Teleop36.1
End6.5
Second
4213
#13
34.41.7
33.231.5
Auto10.3
Teleop23.8
End0.2
red by 8.6
8069
#21
25.80.1
25.425.3
Auto2.6
Teleop20.4
End2.8
Third
34.21.7
35.233.5
Auto8.0
Teleop21.8
End4.5
red by 25.7
9976
#22
8.50.1
8.68.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned