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Red126
198777.0
132926.2
749612.7
Blue49
11784.6
725511.0
120829.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1516305010020025012649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+65Teleop
+73Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
16Coral scored#5
58Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
84Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#2
7L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
6Foul points2
126Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.01.0
71.070.0
Auto18.0
Teleop49.9
End9.3
red by 47.6
1208
#19
29.51.8
32.430.6
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End4.4
Second
1329
#16
26.21.0
32.531.4
Auto3.2
Teleop22.2
End0.9
red by 15.2
7255
#28
11.01.8
14.112.3
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
7496
#25
12.71.3
18.517.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 8.1
1178
#30
4.62.2
15.413.2
Auto0.5
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed