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Red138
170697.9
51256.6
493121.6
Blue62
132926.2
99768.5
425626.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1448105010020013862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+66Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
27Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +45
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points28
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
97Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#4
8L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
138Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.90.4
94.194.5
Auto21.5
Teleop65.4
End11.0
red by 71.4
4256
#29
26.51.9
33.531.6
Auto5.6
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Second
4931
#23
21.60.4
16.116.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End7.1
blue by 4.6
1329
#16
26.21.9
31.429.5
Auto3.2
Teleop22.2
End0.9
Third
5125
#31DQ
6.61.4
7.05.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End0.1
blue by 2.0
9976
#22
8.53.1
8.95.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed