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Red85
11784.6
450059.7
379240.8
Blue61
509819.8
517615.0
725511.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1605401002002508561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
55Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points6
85Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#10
59.72.3
58.956.6
Auto17.1
Teleop36.1
End6.5
red by 39.9
5098
#27
19.80.2
21.621.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Second
3792
#20
40.82.3
46.043.7
Auto9.1
Teleop24.8
End7.1
red by 25.9
15.00.2
17.017.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Third
1178
#30Sur
4.62.3
11.69.3
Auto0.5
Teleop2.7
End1.4
blue by 6.4
7255
#28
11.00.2
10.811.0
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned