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Red75
495920.4
421334.4
432936.1
Blue204
99999.2
999625.0
198777.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078705015020025075204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+47
Endgame+71
Fouls+129
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +44
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
43Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
15Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +129
0Foul points58
75Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#18
36.11.8
43.441.7
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End1.3
blue by 40.9
77.03.5
71.374.8
Auto18.0
Teleop49.9
End9.3
Second
4213
#13
34.41.8
30.128.3
Auto10.3
Teleop23.8
End0.2
red by 9.4
25.05.9
10.216.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Third
4959
#12
20.41.8
18.817.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 11.2
9999
#14
9.25.9
3.79.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned