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Red145
414372.0
132926.2
339721.6
Blue54
674418.0
747225.2
128812.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14249010020025014554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+73Teleop
+73Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave6
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +49
19Coral scored#9
69Coral points32
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
93Total teleop44
Reef
10L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
18Foul points0
145Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.6
65.466.0
Auto18.1
Teleop49.7
End4.3
red by 46.9
7472
#11
25.20.1
24.924.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.5
End3.0
Second
1329
#16
26.20.6
29.530.1
Auto3.2
Teleop22.2
End0.9
red by 8.2
6744
#26
18.00.1
17.317.2
Auto2.5
Teleop14.4
End1.3
Third
21.60.6
20.621.1
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End2.1
red by 9.0
1288
#24
12.60.1
10.710.6
Auto1.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed