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Red97
711711.5
940151.8
639134.2
Blue36
749612.7
493121.6
871910.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1154101001502009736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
58Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
97Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.80.1
48.848.6
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.4
red by 30.2
4931
#23
21.61.0
16.515.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End7.1
Second
34.20.1
33.633.5
Auto8.0
Teleop21.8
End4.5
red by 21.6
7496
#25
12.71.0
14.613.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Third
7117
#17
11.50.1
8.48.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End3.1
red by 0.8
8719
#15
10.71.0
11.110.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed