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Red43
99999.2
806925.8
725511.0
Blue62
120829.5
681722.8
509819.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448001001504362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
33Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
43Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8069
#21
25.80.1
23.623.5
Auto2.6
Teleop20.4
End2.8
blue by 3.7
1208
#19
29.50.5
29.829.2
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End4.4
Second
7255
#28
11.00.1
11.010.9
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 11.8
22.80.5
18.618.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Third
9999
#14
9.20.1
9.69.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 10.6
5098
#27
19.80.5
21.821.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed