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Red35
425626.5
11784.6
432936.1
Blue148
128812.6
414372.0
495920.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961152040608014016035148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+109
Endgame+113
Fouls+113
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +88
3Coral scored#25
11Coral points89
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
21Total teleop109
Reef
2L4#14
1L3#6
1L2#7
0L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +113
6Foul points6
35Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#18
36.13.7
41.737.9
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End1.3
blue by 36.0
72.02.8
66.068.8
Auto18.1
Teleop49.7
End4.3
Second
4256
#29
26.53.7
31.627.9
Auto5.6
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 6.1
4959
#12
20.42.8
17.119.9
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Third
1178
#30
4.63.7
9.35.6
Auto0.5
Teleop2.7
End1.4
blue by 8.0
1288
#24
12.62.8
10.613.4
Auto1.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed