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Red102
639134.2
120829.5
747225.2
Blue78
51256.6
711711.5
421334.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1013205015010278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
66Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points2
102Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.2
33.533.7
Auto8.0
Teleop21.8
End4.5
blue by 0.1
4213
#13
34.41.9
28.330.2
Auto10.3
Teleop23.8
End0.2
Second
1208
#19
29.50.2
29.229.4
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End4.4
red by 18.0
7117
#17
11.51.9
8.210.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Third
7472
#11
25.20.2
24.825.1
Auto5.7
Teleop16.5
End3.0
red by 18.6
5125
#31DQ
6.61.3
5.66.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed