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Red167
806925.8
170697.9
999625.0
Blue38
339721.6
749612.7
11784.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1653005010015020025030016738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+103Teleop
+125Endgame
+129Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
29Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +80
19Coral scored#6
68Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
7Net algae#2
12Processor points0
28Net points8
40Algae points8
108Total teleop28
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#1
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#8
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +129
6Foul points2
167Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.91.5
94.596.0
Auto21.5
Teleop65.4
End11.0
red by 76.3
21.60.6
21.120.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End2.1
Second
8069
#21
25.81.5
23.525.0
Auto2.6
Teleop20.4
End2.8
red by 13.1
7496
#25
12.70.6
13.613.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Third
25.02.5
14.617.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.1
red by 20.4
1178
#30
4.60.6
5.64.9
Auto0.5
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed