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Red46
674418.0
871910.7
99768.5
Blue64
725511.0
432936.1
128812.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457701001502002504664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#7
28Coral points26
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
36Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
46Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6744
#26
18.00.0
17.517.5
Auto2.5
Teleop14.4
End1.3
blue by 18.1
4329
#18
36.10.8
37.937.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End1.3
Second
8719
#15
10.70.0
11.611.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End0.9
blue by 1.9
1288
#24
12.60.8
13.412.6
Auto1.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Third
9976
#22
8.50.1
8.68.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End1.5
blue by 2.5
7255
#28
11.00.8
10.910.1
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned