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Red69
517615.0
120829.5
132926.2
Blue97
495920.4
425626.5
639134.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89874060801001206997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +25
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
42Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
12Foul points12
69Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#19
29.52.0
29.427.5
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End4.4
blue by 4.8
34.20.6
33.733.1
Auto8.0
Teleop21.8
End4.5
Second
1329
#16
26.22.0
29.327.3
Auto3.2
Teleop22.2
End0.9
blue by 0.3
4256
#29
26.50.6
27.927.3
Auto5.6
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Third
15.02.0
17.515.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 5.5
4959
#12
20.40.6
19.919.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned