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Red113
450059.7
99999.2
747225.2
Blue56
493121.6
806925.8
11784.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12548010015020011356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+67Teleop
+59Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave6
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +43
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points22
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
77Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points2
113Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#10
59.70.7
58.158.8
Auto17.1
Teleop36.1
End6.5
red by 33.9
8069
#21
25.80.3
25.024.7
Auto2.6
Teleop20.4
End2.8
Second
7472
#11
25.20.7
25.125.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.5
End3.0
red by 3.5
4931
#23
21.60.3
17.316.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End7.1
Third
9999
#14
9.21.1
9.510.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 4.6
1178
#30
4.60.3
4.94.6
Auto0.5
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned